Playing with numbers
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Playing with numbers
so i was watching dave campbells Toughest New UIL Districts video on youtube and got this wacky idea to come up with a way to come up a rating for each district in 2a division 2 for 2022 since the season is over just to see if it came up with anything interesting. i came up with the following formula and ran the numbers. what its support to display is a number that gives an idea how strong the district is overall as well as how difficult it is for teams to win in that district. BTW im in no way saying this is any sort of definitive ranking its just something i did for fun. enjoy
Formula
District name
(Total Points Scored by District - Total Points Against District)
Divided by
(Total Wins by District - Total Losses by District)
Data from Maxpreps
Results Rounded up or down for simplicity
all results displayed as positive.
Lower results are better
District 1
1477-1312=165
Divided By
33-23=10
Result 17
District 2
1818-1679=139
Divided By
37-34=3
Result 46
District 3
1583-1941= -358
Divided By
30-36= -6
Result 60
District 4
1701-1872= -171
Divided By
31-38= -7
Result 24
District 5
1779-1793= -14
Divided by
37-38= -1
Result 14
District 6
2186-1999=187
Divided by
39-29=10
Result 19
District 7
1700-2028= -328
Divided by
33-43=-10
Result 33
District 8
1948-1974= -26
Divided by
39-40
Result 26
District 9
1477-2399= -922
Divided by
32-44= -12
Result 77
District 10
2516-2297=219
Divided by
40-33=7
Result 31
District 11
2068-2088= -20
Divided by
34-33=1
Result 20
District 12
1771-1732=39
Divided by
34-31=3
Result 13
District 13
2062-1527=535
Divided By
41-27=14
Result 38
District 14
1895-2118= -223
Divided By
37-42= -5
Result 45
District 15
2077-1772=305
Divided by
43-32=11
Result 28
District 16
973-1403= -430
Divided By
18-32= -14
Result 31
Formula
District name
(Total Points Scored by District - Total Points Against District)
Divided by
(Total Wins by District - Total Losses by District)
Data from Maxpreps
Results Rounded up or down for simplicity
all results displayed as positive.
Lower results are better
District 1
1477-1312=165
Divided By
33-23=10
Result 17
District 2
1818-1679=139
Divided By
37-34=3
Result 46
District 3
1583-1941= -358
Divided By
30-36= -6
Result 60
District 4
1701-1872= -171
Divided By
31-38= -7
Result 24
District 5
1779-1793= -14
Divided by
37-38= -1
Result 14
District 6
2186-1999=187
Divided by
39-29=10
Result 19
District 7
1700-2028= -328
Divided by
33-43=-10
Result 33
District 8
1948-1974= -26
Divided by
39-40
Result 26
District 9
1477-2399= -922
Divided by
32-44= -12
Result 77
District 10
2516-2297=219
Divided by
40-33=7
Result 31
District 11
2068-2088= -20
Divided by
34-33=1
Result 20
District 12
1771-1732=39
Divided by
34-31=3
Result 13
District 13
2062-1527=535
Divided By
41-27=14
Result 38
District 14
1895-2118= -223
Divided By
37-42= -5
Result 45
District 15
2077-1772=305
Divided by
43-32=11
Result 28
District 16
973-1403= -430
Divided By
18-32= -14
Result 31
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Re: Playing with numbers
added up all the results for districts
Region 1 : 147
Region 2 : 92
Region 3 : 141
Region 4 : 142
Going with lower is better. all the regions compare favorably in over all strength and difficulty but region 2 does seem to be the strongest and most difficult going by the ratings this produced. does anyone think this is accurate or is it flawed. let me know
Region 1 : 147
Region 2 : 92
Region 3 : 141
Region 4 : 142
Going with lower is better. all the regions compare favorably in over all strength and difficulty but region 2 does seem to be the strongest and most difficult going by the ratings this produced. does anyone think this is accurate or is it flawed. let me know
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Re: Playing with numbers
One great team can skew the results, ie District 6. Personally think the 4 playoff teams in District 7 which was is your lowest ranked district in R2 were all better than the 2-4 place teams in D6.
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Re: Playing with numbers
i would agree. i would say 3 teams in district 7 are better than any other team in district 6 exept albany and debatably miles though i wouldnt debate to hard on that one. Albany defiantly skews an overall poor performing district.Windthorstfan wrote: ↑Thu Jan 05, 2023 8:37 pm One great team can skew the results, ie District 6. Personally think the 4 playoff teams in District 7 which was is your lowest ranked district in R2 were all better than the 2-4 place teams in D6.
Re: Playing with numbers
Interesting, but without accounting for strength of schedule it throws things off. For example, Muenster probably brings District 8 down because they had a fairly difficult predistrict. They could easily schedule wins with points to pile up, but chose to play larger and quality opponents.
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Re: Playing with numbers
At the same time two weak teams can also pull a district down. Hard to judge on record alone. It wasn't Muenster that dragged down District 8, it was Chico and Era...I would still argue that Region II was amongst the strongest in the state, despite probably having the worse 4 teams in the region. Wink would have a good argument to be the second-best team in the state.
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Re: Playing with numbers
Miles???? For the most part, Miles played a weak schedule. Sterling City was their only win against a team better than .500 and then they lost the rematch in the playoffs. Trust me I would take all 4 playoffs against the 2-4 seeds of District 6.Albanyfan0678 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 06, 2023 9:18 ami would agree. i would say 3 teams in district 7 are better than any other team in district 6 exept albany and debatably miles though i wouldnt debate to hard on that one. Albany defiantly skews an overall poor performing district.Windthorstfan wrote: ↑Thu Jan 05, 2023 8:37 pm One great team can skew the results, ie District 6. Personally think the 4 playoff teams in District 7 which was is your lowest ranked district in R2 were all better than the 2-4 place teams in D6.
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Re: Playing with numbers
Yeah. They where the only other team that was largely dominating in the district but like I said I wouldn't put to much effort in defending that. Mainly because of their schedule strength but they did put 18 points on Albany same as some other schools. But then go and lose to sterling city who they previously beat by 20 points. So make of that what you will, I'll just chalk it up to Texas football lol
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Re: Playing with numbers
I kinda been wondering what other teams could have gone all the way from region 2. I like wink and Collinsville. Both played Albany hard in there own ways but wink has the edge as they kept the game scores lower and closer than Collinsville did.Windthorstfan wrote: ↑Tue Jan 10, 2023 7:28 pm At the same time two weak teams can also pull a district down. Hard to judge on record alone. It wasn't Muenster that dragged down District 8, it was Chico and Era...I would still argue that Region II was amongst the strongest in the state, despite probably having the worse 4 teams in the region. Wink would have a good argument to be the second-best team in the state.
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Re: Playing with numbers
Think Wink is the only team that could have won it out of Region II. Collinsville didn’t have the defense, you have to be able to stop the other team occasionally!